AUSTRALIAN WEEKLY MARKET REPORT

Comment

Further instability on global economic issues has eroded confidence from the wool market that has until now recorded one of the more positive periods in the last few years in our history. Since the peak of the EMI exactly one year ago (16/08/18), the benchmark indicator has fallen 28.5%. In USD terms the peak was in June 2018 and it’s now 33.6% lower. The fall in the EMI this week alone was just under 10%. In comparison our pool of non mulesed types indicates that these wools were again much less affected and closed around 2.9% cheaper on average. 15.0/16.0 micron and the better 17.0/18.5 types were again well supported by a different bench of buyers.

AWEX Eastern Indicator compared with 09/08/2019

Eastern Indicator

Close: 1513

Change in % -9.7%

If you want to learn more about AWEX indicators, visit the official website http://www.awex.com.au

Schneider Indicators

The Schneider Indicators are currently being reviewed to provide index values that will better reflect our evolving business. Details and launch in coming weeks. Our apologies to those who rely on these values for market information.

15 Micron

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16 Micron

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17 Micron

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18 Micron

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19 Micron

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Forecast

A fall of this magnitude is significant and must raise further confusion amongst our customers. We can’t underestimate the level of pessimism coming from the Chinese market. This will however, create opportunities for others and considering the correction in price is as great since the peak as we mentioned earlier in this report, this new level of price will encourage some serious considerations. Little has changed fundamentally. We remain very confident for wool as a textile fibre and supply will continue to fall in Australia with the impact of the drought continuing to drive production downwards. Superfine wool clips are coming in earlier than usual and this will impact on supply later this calendar year.

Auction offering – current week

Selling Centres for week 07

Market          Sale          Offered             Sold       Passed In

North                    S 07                      13052                       8548                34.5%

South                   M 07                      15442                       10797              30.1%

West                     F 07                        6929                         3698              46.6%

Auction offering – next week

Market          Sale          Sale days          Volume

North                      S 08                        T-W                           11194

South                      M 08                       T-W                           22502

West                        F 08                        no sale

 

If you want to see the complete Wool Sales Roster click here.