Archive for category: Australian Weekly Market Report

Comment

The market was a little easier over both selling days but 33,000 bales to the value of $54,000,000 sold to the trade in the week. Not a bad result in a generally negative market tone. We remain convinced that there is demand for wool, albeit a little cautious. Our fine wool Authentico index values also report a more positive market for NM/CM wool in what was a slightly better selection. There is no doubt that the better superfine clips that are either NM or CM are attracting a wider range of competition and these wool’s sold well and tended dearer. The Authentico index values for 15.0, 16.0 and 17.0 all improved a little. 18.0 was unchanged and 19.0 was easier.

AWEX Eastern Indicator compared with 22/11/2019

Eastern Indicator

Close: 1530

Change in % -1.61

If you want to learn more about AWEX indicators, visit the official website http://www.awex.com.au

Authentico Index Values

15 Micron

Close: 2475

Change in %: +1.64

16 Micron

Close: 2314

Change in %: +1.71

17 Micron

Close: 2143

Change in %: +0.42

18 Micron

Close: 2025

Change in %: +0.05

19 Micron

Close: 1898

Change in %: -1.71

Authentico Indicator

Close: 2151

Change in %: +0.56

Forecast

Just three weeks remain before the Christmas recess and it appears that the market will continue within this narrower trading range until the end of December.

It’s important to note that the strength in our index values came from the 15.0 and 16.0 range and neither of these micron ranges are included in the EMI.

Auction offering – current week

Selling Centres for week 22

Market          Sale          Offered             Sold       Passed In

North                      S 22                     10237                       8938                  12.7%

South                     M 22                     20315                      17631                  13.2%

West                       F 22                       7275                         5895                 19.0%

Auction offering – next week

Market          Sale          Sale days          Volume

North                      S 23                       W-T                           10163

South                      M 23                      W-T                           23158

West                        F 23                       W-T                            7953

 

If you want to see the complete Wool Sales Roster click here.

Comment

Market volatility continued this week with a reversal of last week’s easing trend. Prices got off to a stronger start and stabilised on Thursday after overacting just a little late on Wednesday. All in all, it was a more promising market tone this week, particularly for the finer microns. It was the better lots 15.5 / 17.0 micron that attracted the most attention with the Chinese focus supported strongly from European interests. Our Authentico indicators performed in line with the general market for 15.0 / 17.0 micron but typically, our index values are more stable than the general market for 18.0 and 19.0 micron.

AWEX Eastern Indicator compared with 8/11/2019

Eastern Indicator

Close: 1574

Change in % +1.22

If you want to learn more about AWEX indicators, visit the official website http://www.awex.com.au

Authentico Index Values

15 Micron

Close: 2542

Change in %: +1.72

16 Micron

Close: 2333

Change in %: +2.32

17 Micron

Close: 2181

Change in %: +2.59

18 Micron

Close: 2064

Change in %: +0.98

19 Micron

Close: 1965

Change in %: +0.98

Authentico Indicator

Close: 2191

Change in %: +1.81

Forecast

There was more interest from the Chinese sector this week, as mentioned in our weekly comment, this was more focused on the finer merinos. We’ve said for a while now that they have appeared better value. Now that selection is slowing for the better fine wool, if interest from China is maintained, we remain positive for this market. Production is particularly affected in this range, specifically when considering quality types.

Our thoughts are with our wool grower friends now battling bush fires after lengthy period of drought and costly supplementary feed bills. Their resilience in these times is extraordinary and our support and best wishes for a satisfactory outcome.

Auction offering – current week

Selling Centres for week 20

Market          Sale          Offered             Sold       Passed In

North                      S 20                      9781                        9139                   6.6%

South                     M 20                     19985                      18741                  6.2%

West                       F 20                       6344                         5704                 10.1%

Auction offering – next week

Market          Sale          Sale days          Volume

North                      S 21                       W-T                           10015

South                      M 21                      W-T                           21779

West                        F 21                       W-T                            8932

 

If you want to see the complete Wool Sales Roster click here.

Comment

Following from last week’s positive lead, prices strengthened across the board on Wednesday and followed with a more stabilising market on Thursday. There was no doubt that the confidence shown in the auction room on Wednesday was much greater than we’ve seen in recent months and this was a welcome sign. As the AUD strengthened against the USD overnight Wednesday, there was a little more caution shown on Thursday but prices settled to be around about the same level on average. The better type and specification types were a little dearer and the average strength Chinese qualities a little irregular and cheaper. Fremantle opened cheaper than the east on Thursday but it was noted that the market improved towards the close of sale in that centre. Crossbred and carding types were event more keenly sought after than the merino combing types.

AWEX Eastern Indicator compared with 25/10/2019

Eastern Indicator

Close: 1594

Change in % +3.17

If you want to learn more about AWEX indicators, visit the official website http://www.awex.com.au

Authentico Index Values

15 Micron

Close: 2526

Change in %: +4.21

16 Micron

Close: 2281

Change in %: +3.40

17 Micron

Close: 2138

Change in %: +2.59

18 Micron

Close: 2049

Change in %: +1.59

19 Micron

Close: 1982

Change in %: +1.48

Authentico Indicator

Close: 2163

Change in %: +2.46

Forecast

If the current market trend continues, in the next few weeks we’ll slowly but surely shift some of the grower held wool onto the market. The availability of wool over the next four weeks is currently forecast to be greater than the same period last year. It has been an orderly approach to marketing this year despite the extreme volatility in price. On the occasion of dramatic falls, we’ve seen up to 50% of the fleece wool offered for sale being passed in. Likewise, when we have expected a better market, we haven’t seen a huge volume of held bales flood the auction. We are constantly encouraged by the greater communication between buyers and sellers these days and a maturing supply chain as a result. Let’s hope that this sensible approach continues towards Christmas. A less volatile market over a sustained period will add some much-needed confidence.

Auction offering – current week

Selling Centres for week 18

Market          Sale          Offered             Sold       Passed In

North                      S 18                      8946                        8561                  4.3%

South                     M 18                     17958                       17139                 4.6%

West                       F 18                       8396                        7308                 13.0%

Auction offering – next week

Market          Sale          Sale days          Volume

North                      S 19                       W-T                            9515

South                      M 19                      W-T                          18386

West                        F 19                       W-T                           8596

 

If you want to see the complete Wool Sales Roster click here.

Comment

Most market reports will alert to continued volatility this week but we are of the opinion that the better prepared clips, particularly those with NM or CM status, remain much more stable. We found only a small movement in our Authentico index’s this week, all moving between 0.3 and 1% up or down. There was a larger superfine selection this week and they were the wools that performed the best. The 15.0 to 17.5 micron range was well supported. The AWEX EMI didn’t fare as well, minus 1.7% for the week, but this would have been influenced by a poor performance in the crossbred sector which eased as the sale progressed.

AWEX Eastern Indicator compared with 11/10/2019

Eastern Indicator

Close: 1517

Change in % -1.69

If you want to learn more about AWEX indicators, visit the official website http://www.awex.com.au

Authentico Index Values

15 Micron

Close: 2406

Change in %: -0.91

16 Micron

Close: 2210

Change in %: -1.03

17 Micron

Close: 2060

Change in %: +0.34

18 Micron

Close: 1998

Change in %: +0.30

19 Micron

Close: 1903

Change in %: -0.31

Authentico Indicator

Close: 2090

Change in %: -0.19

Forecast

A smaller sale next week with 33,000 bales rostered for sale including a one-day sale (Wednesday) in Sydney. This is unusual for this time of the season and an indication of the general supply trend.

Auction offering – current week

Selling Centres for week 16

Market          Sale          Offered             Sold       Passed In

North                    S 16                      10143                         9060                 10.7%

South                   M 16                      17625                        15036                 14.7%

West                     F 16                        7588                          6093                 19.7%

Auction offering – next week

Market          Sale          Sale days          Volume

North                      S 17                         W                              5425

South                      M 17                      W-T                          19371

West                        F 17                       W-T                           8174

 

If you want to see the complete Wool Sales Roster click here.

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