Notice: Undefined variable: authorID in /home/gschw3devel/html/wp-content/themes/enfold-child/functions.php on line 29

Australian Weekly Market Report

Published November 16, 2018 by Tim Marwedel

Comment

It was very encouraging to see the market fortunes turn this week after recent heavy weekly falls. While the merino sector had an up and down week, it was more related to the different market levels between Sydney and Melbourne. Melbourne, with the larger volume, finally spiked quite strongly on Thursday to rebound closer to the Sydney levels. It was the strength of the Thursday sale in Melbourne that will be closely considered. Carding and crossbred types were also keenly sought after and rebounded quite aggressively.

AWEX Eastern Indicator compared with 9/11/2018

Eastern Indicator

Close: 1781

Change in %: +0.28%

If you want to learn more about AWEX indicators, visit the official website http://www.awex.com.au

Schneider Indicators compared with 9/11/2018

15 Micron (*)

Close: 2670

Change in %: -7.72

16 Micron

Close: 2522

Change in %: -4.68

17 Micron

Close:  2289

Change in %: -4.67

18 Micron

Close: 2143

Change in %: -3.87

19 Micron

Close: 2022

Change in %: -2.67

Each indicator is expressed by a number representing a market quotation for a selected range of types and is not a price expression and it’s not influenced by currency fluctuations.

Wool indicators are anyway based on Australian Dollar.

If you want to learn more about SCHNEIDER indicators Click here.

Forecast

We’ve often observed the crossbred and carding markets are the first to react when the market is moving. The merino fleece and skirtings then follow. The most significant movers in the stronger market tone were the carding and crossbred sections, with the cardings in particular jumping by between 5 and 10%. With the recent high weekly passed in rates, there is no doubt less wool has been purchased over the past month by the large topmakers, reluctant as the market level fell on a weekly basis. Stock of greasy wool would likely be low. We are of the opinion that some will need wool soon considering the pending three-week Christmas recess and the lower volumes purchased in recent weeks. This could result in a short-term squeeze over the next few weeks. Historically January has been a strong month as well. We’ll need to understand what the real demand is like, many are talking of reduced consumption but the real story of limited supply will only become more obvious into 2019 and this will only encourage more price volatility.

Auction offering – current week

Selling Centres for week 20

Market          Sale          Offered          Sold          Passed In

North                   S 20                 9417                     8756                 7.0%

South                   M 20               18956                   17095               9.8%

West                     F 20                6953                     5636                18.9%

Auction offering – next week

Market          Sale          Sale days          Volume

North                   S 21                W-T                            8320

South                  M 21                W-T                           17761

West                    F 21                W-T                             9253

If you want to see the complete Wool Sales Roster click here.